Prevailing
winds

For
decades, Big Energy blew off renewable energy as insignificant.
Now the industry's biggest players are racing to build
wind farms -- and cash in on the latest energy boom.
By
Alex Markels
If
Ben Givens ever needs reassurance that his bosses at
American Electric Power (AEP) -- the country's biggest
generator of electricity and a leading coal-mining company
-- support his work to develop wind energy, all he has
to do is whip out his company credit card. There on
its face, pictured beside an image of belching smokestacks,
is a cluster of huge, pinwheel-like turbines. "Pretty
cool, huh?" says Givens, who operates the company's
three wind farms in Texas. "We're finally hitting
the big time!"
The credit card might seem like a public-relations ploy.
But behind the green imagery is a remarkable corporate
about-face: After decades of belittling wind as a puny
and unreliable energy source, AEP and other major companies
are scrambling to cash in on what is now the world's
fastest-growing source of electric power. Multinationals
like Shell and General Electric are investing hundreds
of millions of dollars in wind operations from Washington
state to Massachusetts. Last year, energy firms spent
a record $1.7 billion on wind projects in the United
States, increasing wind power capacity by some 60 percent,
to more than 4,200 megawatts -- enough to provide electricity
to one million homes. (By comparison, solar photovoltaic
cells currently supply about 200 megawatts.) "The
big players who didn't give a hoot about this a few
years ago are finally getting in the game," says
Ronald Lehr, a former Colorado public utilities commissioner
and a wind energy expert. "Which is precisely what's
needed to make wind a viable energy source."
Even with the recent growth, wind power fills only about
one-half of one percent of the country's total electricity
demand; the European Union, with a total population
only about one-third larger than the United States,
has four times as much wind power capacity and plans
to obtain 22 percent of its electricity supply from
renewables by 2010. Yet a growing number of industry
experts say it is the United States -- with its huge
electricity market and its vast, windswept plains and
blustery coastlines -- that has the greatest potential
to reap power and profit from wind. And perhaps nowhere
is the trend more apparent than in Texas -- home to
many of the nation's oil companies and their longtime
champion, George W. Bush.
It was then-Governor Bush who, in 1999, signed off on
a landmark provision requiring utilities to get 2,000
megawatts of their electricity from renewables by 2009,
setting off the largest annual increase in wind-farm
construction in U.S. history. As president, Bush has
resisted calls to include a similar provision in his
national energy plan. But as the economics of wind improve,
even Bush's industry allies point to Texas as proof
that, with just a little push from the government, renewables
can compete.
"Wind power is an increasingly viable source of
power generation," says James Houck, head of the
power and gasification division at ChevronTexaco, which
plans to build its first wind farm this year.
The reason for Big Energy's turnaround is simple: After
decades of false starts and mechanical failures, a host
of technology advances and economies of scale have dramatically
improved wind energy's bottom line. The cost of producing
a kilowatt-hour of electricity from wind has fallen
by more than 80 percent since the first wind farms were
installed in California in the late 1970s. Today, the
cost stands at between three and six cents per kilowatt-hour,
depending on location -- comparable to or better than,
in some cases, the standard two to five cents for conventional
fuels. And with additional momentum from state mandates
-- at least a dozen states now require utilities to
get some of their energy from renewables -- wind power
is in the midst of a full-blown boom.
The biggest projects on the drawing board include South
Dakota's Rolling Thunder wind farm, a massive 3,000-megawatt
installation that, once it begins operation in 2006,
is slated to generate as much electricity as three average
nuclear plants. A collection of farms in Washington
and Oregon will add another 830 megawatts by 2003. Off
the coast of Nantucket, Massachusetts, the country's
first offshore wind farm is slated to begin construction
next year; it is expected to generate 420 megawatts,
enough to displace two standard coal-fired plants.
And those projects are just the beginning. "If
you look at this country's huge wind resources and the
size of the energy market, the economics could blow
us right past what they've done in Europe," says
Lehr. "In five years or so, we could easily be
the world leader in wind energy."
Drive
from Abilene into West Texas' rattlesnake country, and
it doesn't take long before AEP's Trent Mesa wind farm
comes into view. Even from 10 miles away, it makes for
an extraordinary sight: a long line of 100 huge white
pinwheels, each taller than the Statue of Liberty and
with a rotor diameter longer than the wingspan of a
Boeing 747. Like a Christo sculpture blowing in the
breeze, they spin with an almost artistic subtlety;
even in the stiffest gusts, they make but one gentle
revolution every two to three seconds. That's still
plenty to generate 1.5 megawatts each, more than almost
any other wind turbine now operating in the United States.
"We get a lot of sightseers who drive up and want
a tour," Ben Givens says as he steers his three-quarter-ton
truck up a dirt road that winds to the top of the mesa.
"People just 'ooh' and 'ahh' the closer they get
to them, especially the little kids. If we ever went
belly up, heaven forbid, we could always make a tourist
attraction out of this place."
It's easy to see why visitors are intrigued. Givens,
an affable West Texas native who is the plant's operations
manager, rattles off a string of impressive facts: The
towers' foundations take up a mere 150 square feet of
ground, but their rotors sweep an area nearly twice
the size of the mainsail on a large clipper ship. Perched
atop each tower is a rectangular box the size of a school
bus that contains 56 tons of power equipment. Sensors
send streams of data to a central server that helps
fine-tune the turbines' operations and directs a total
of about 590,000 megawatt-hours' worth of electricity,
enough to power about 35,000 homes, to a nearby substation.
As we arrive at the base of one tower, we have to crane
our necks to see the top of the structure, where we
can just make out the now-notorious tilted E. Enron
was an early player in the revival of wind energy; one
of its most profitable subsidiaries, Enron Wind, supplied
all the turbines for Trent Mesa and developed about
one-third of the 900 megawatts of wind power that came
online in Texas last year. When the company was sold
after Enron's demise, AEP and others snapped up its
wind farms, while its turbine-manufacturing operations
went to General Electric.
Givens opens a porthole-shaped door on one of the towers
and walks inside. A steel ladder leads upward through
the darkness; at its base, a computer console keeps
track of the turbine's operations. When he started work
at one of Texas' first wind farms six years ago, Givens
recalls, state-of-the-art turbines put out 550 kilowatts
each. "These new machines can do three times that,"
he notes, "and for about half the cost per kilowatt-hour."
The new generation of wind turbines aren't just bigger
than their predecessors; they're more reliable, easier
to maintain, and better at adapting to changing wind
conditions. And they're more popular. Though some wind
projects have been criticized for marring the landscape
and posing hazards to migrating birds, most environmentalists
strongly support the technology. Here in West Texas,
Trent Mesa has brought more than a dozen permanent jobs
and a string of lucrative land leases for area ranchers.
"The taxes alone are making a big difference for
the schools and hospitals here," says Glenn Wortham,
a city commissioner in nearby Sweetwater. "This
has been a win-win situation."
While such praise makes for great P.R., it's the bottom
line that's driving big investments in wind. Richard
Walker, AEP's director of renewable energy business
development, says company executives are especially
enthusiastic about wind power's ability to deliver electricity
at a stable price. "You can give them a firm number
for 20 years," he notes, "which is something
you can't do with natural gas." His phone rang
off the hook last year when natural gas prices spiked.
"People in the energy business want predictability,
and you can get that now with wind."
Big
energy's surge of interest in wind power has been a
long time coming. Although some large companies began
research and development efforts during the 1970s' energy
crisis, federal funding all but dried up during the
Reagan and Bush years, and the United States' technology
lead was lost to firms from Europe.
The U.S. wind industry didn't begin to revive until
the 1990s, after Congress created a wind energy tax
credit, and the Department of Energy launched a program
to finance the development of new turbines. An enterprising
team at a Texas utility called Central and South West
Corp. was the first to take advantage of the funds and
soon set up a dozen experimental turbines on a remote
farm near Fort Davis, Texas. Walker, the AEP executive,
was Central and South West's research director at the
time. "We had all kinds of problems at first,"
he recalls. "When it got too windy, some of the
parts would break and fly off. Then there was the lightning
storms -- things started blowing up left and right."
But the broken parts and burned-out generators provided
just the trial by fire the industry needed. The company
that built those turbines, a startup called Zond Energy
Systems, later became Enron Wind.
To gauge whether the market was ready for wind, Walker
organized a series of "deliberative polls,"
town hall-style meetings held in three Texas cities
in 1997, at which customers could learn about the new
technology and rank their preferred energy sources.
In each of the polls, renewables came in first or second;
only conservation was more popular. "None of us
realized how much people would support the idea,"
recalls Walker. "It really turned the heads of
our management." Walker was soon given the go-ahead
to develop the company's first commercial wind farm.
Setting out like wildcatters in search of an oil patch,
he and his team fanned out across West Texas, scouting
favorable locations in hopes of striking meteorological
pay dirt. They eventually settled on a pair of high
mesas and began erecting the Trent Mesa turbines.
By 1999, Texas legislators were taking note. As part
of a bill deregulating the state's energy market, lawmakers
-- with support from advocacy groups like Public Citizen
and the Environmental Defense Fund -- crafted a provision
requiring that power companies get at least 2,000 watts,
or approximately three percent of their power, from
renewable sources by 2009. It was the biggest such mandate
in the country. "[The provision] was strongly resisted
by most of the utilities," says Steve Wolens, a
Democrat and the bill's co-author in the state House.
"But it was the right thing to do. And in the long
run, it was a booming success because the utilities
finally realized they could make money with wind."
Laws
requiring power companies to get some portion of their
energy -- typically between three and eight percent
-- from renewables are now on the books in a dozen states,
including Pennsylvania, New Jersey, Wisconsin, and Arizona.
The mandates are widely credited with pushing wind to
the top of the industry's agenda. Yet they pale in comparison
to a measure passed by the European Commission last
year: Looking, in part, to Texas' legislation as a model
for creating market-based wind energy incentives, the
commission directed countries to draw at least 12 percent
of their energy from renewable sources within the next
eight years. The law has sparked a wind-farm construction
boom that is set to place thousands of supersize turbines
throughout the continent and off the coasts of the United
Kingdom, Denmark, and Germany.
Europe's aggressive approach is a result, in large part,
of the European Union's commitment to the United Nations'
Kyoto Protocol, which calls for reducing production
of greenhouse gases. "The climate change thing
is driving it here," says John Doddrell, director
of sustainable energy policy for Britain's Department
of Trade and Industry, which is distributing $380 million
in capital grants for renewable energy projects. "There's
a growing recognition of the seriousness of the problem
and that we need to reduce consumption of energy and
obtain the energy we do use from cleaner, renewable
sources."
The Bush administration, which last year pulled out
of the international negotiations that produced the
Kyoto agreement, has refused to take a similarly active
role to promote renewables. Though Bush recently revived
the wind energy tax credit, his energy plan includes
no national mandates for renewables and instead looks
largely to coal, oil, and nuclear power to feed the
nation's future energy demand.
Of course, wind alone could never fully supplant those
sources. While the fuel is essentially free, the vagaries
of the weather don't guarantee enough wind to keep the
lights on 24/7. Moreover, while wind resources in places
like Texas, North Dakota, and Kansas -- the nation's
three windiest states -- are abundant, they tend to
be far from the population centers that most need power,
and transmission lines lose a great deal of electricity
over long distances.
Still, the nation's wind resources are vast. According
to Department of Energy estimates, those same three
windiest states could meet the nation's entire electricity
demand. With improvements to the transmission system,
"there's absolutely no doubt that wind could supply
at least 10 percent of the country's electric power,"
says Randall Swisher, executive director of the American
Wind Energy Association, an industry research and trade
group. "And it could do it without raising electricity
rates." A recent report by the Union of Concerned
Scientists estimated that, together with other renewable
sources, wind could supply a full 20 percent of the
nation's electricity needs while actually reducing the
average price consumers pay.
Renewable energy would get a modest boost under the
energy bill passed by the Senate in April. The measure
requires companies to get at least one percent of their
power from renewable sources by 2005, and it sets a
goal of generating 10 percent of the nation's electricity
from those sources by 2020. Like the Texas legislation,
the bill also creates a credit trading system to help
power companies meet the new requirement. "Utilities
that aren't in wind-rich areas could buy credits from
those where the wind is plentiful," notes Lehr,
the former Colorado utilities commissioner, "which
helps solve some of the geographic constraints that
power generators face." The bill's House counterpart,
passed last year, has no such provision.
Whether or not the measure ultimately becomes law, the
idea has attracted some high-powered backers. "The
federal government can set policy guidelines and then
let the free market decide how they're achieved,"
says Robert Gates, senior vice president of development
for General Electric's new wind energy division. "We
did the same thing with catalytic converters. We decided
to make the air cleaner. But we didn't tell companies
how to do it -- just that they had to." A national
renewables mandate, Gates adds, would prompt companies
like G.E. to pump more money into wind and other renewable
technologies, bringing down the cost even further. "We're
now developing one of the biggest wind turbines ever,"
he notes. "And we're doing that primarily to meet
the growing demand in Europe."
Futurists also envision a day when wind power can be
used to electrolyze water to produce hydrogen, which
can serve as a fuel for everything from cars to generators.
"We can now see a future where farmers and ranchers
can supply not only much of the country's electricity,
but much of the hydrogen to fuel its fleet of automobiles
as well," predicts Lester Brown, president of the
Earth Policy Institute. "For the first time, the
United States has the technology to divorce itself from
Middle Eastern oil."
Of course, Brown and other environmentalists have been
making grand predictions about wind for decades, only
to have their ideas undermined as falling energy prices
and the resulting lack of investment rendered alternative
technologies unprofitable. But with the economic winds
finally blowing in their favor, renewables proponents
now sound less like Don Quixotes than like rational,
forward-looking businesspeople.
(Reprinted
with permission from Mother Jones magazine, © 2002,
Foundation for National Progress. Nonprofit Mother Jones
magazine produces revelatory journalism that in its
power and reach seeks to inform and inspire a more just
and democratic world. For more information visit the
magazine's website at www.motherjones.com.)
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